This project aims to develop a prototype predictive capability, designed in collaboration with stakeholders and supported by social scientists, to improve forecasts of extreme rainfall and inundation and the communication of risk to emergency management.
The capability will be a multi-disciplinary collaboration between meteorological, hydrological and radar research teams, working across forecasting timescales with three main components:
- improved utilisation of ensemble guidance
- development and testing of radar rainfall nowcasting tools
- flood inundation mapping.
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Flash flooding case studies to improve predictions and the communication of uncertainty |