Quantifying and predicting bushfire risk following large-scale drought-induced vegetation die-off | Natural Hazards Research Australia

Quantifying and predicting bushfire risk following large-scale drought-induced vegetation die-off

Photo: Natural Hazards Research Australia
Project type

Core research

Project status

Proposed

South western Australia, parts of South Australia, and Tasmania have experienced significant widespread and severe heatwave/ drought- induced vegetation die-off in the first half of 2024. However, how the bushfire risk has been altered is unknown – this is a clear and critical gap in knowledge. 

This project aims to understand the impacts of a heatwave/ drought on bushfire disaster risk by:  

  • quantifying fuel characteristics for the range of vegetation types affected by vegetation die-off across the southwest (and other sites, if possible)
  • calculating potential fire behaviour
  • identifying the interactions between climate change and bushfire risk by utilising remote sensing and heatwave/drought die-off research sites to project future die-off and bushfire risk. 

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