Unlocking risk: Enhancing hazard risk assessment through historical archival reanalysis | Natural Hazards Research Australia

Unlocking risk: Enhancing hazard risk assessment through historical archival reanalysis

Photo: Arie Oldman, Unsplash
Project type

Core research

Project status

Expressions of Interest

Understanding and mitigating earthquake risks in Australia has relied on incomplete and biased historical data, often excluding First Nations knowledge. While essential for long-term hazard assessment, historical records have been limited by inconsistent methodologies and restricted access. Overcoming these challenges is crucial for more accurate hazard assessments and effective risk mitigation strategies. 

This project aims to significantly improve the characterisation of historical hazard events by enhancing the quantity and quality of data available for research. 

This project is currently open for Expressions of Interest.  

Project teams responding to this call for Expressions of Interest (see PDF in top-right corner) are required to submit their response using the Centre’s current EOI submission form.  

EOI proposals close 5:00pm AEDT 17 March 2025 to research@naturalhazards.com.au.  

An online webinar, scheduled for 12pm AEDT on 26 February 2025, will provide a more detailed briefing of the project and the opportunity for interested parties to pose specific questions. Register to attend by clicking the button at the top right of this page. Once completed, a recording of this webinar will be posted to the website to ensure all interested respondents have access to this information.   

Project details

This research aims to significantly improve the characterisation of historical hazard events by enhancing the quantity and quality of data available for research. This research aims to significantly improve the characterisation of historical hazard events by enhancing the quantity and quality of data available for research. 

This aim will be achieved through the following steps: 

  • Conducting a comprehensive literature review and stakeholder consultation to define the scope of data acquisition for historical earthquake, storm surge and cyclone hazard events in a minimum of three case study regions.  

  • Performing a thorough search of online databases for primary source material and making in-person visits to libraries, state and agency archives for non-digitised materials in case study regions. 

  • Engaging appropriately with First Nations groups to understand historic hazard events. 

  • Analysing historical data to robustly characterise each event (e.g., earthquake location and magnitude), focusing on hazards of particular concern to stakeholders in agreed case study regions. 

  • Establish methods for translating historical accounts into characterisation of the hazards that can inform current risk assessments and supporting databases.  

  • Making the data collected available to hazard researchers and disaster risk practitioners. 

  • Developing the methodology with built-in flexibility to enable its application to additional hazards and jurisdictions in the future. 

 

Frequently asked questions

Q) Are the word limits in the submission form a guideline? 

A) Each question in the submission form has a required word limit. Submissions with statements exceeding the word limit will be deemed non-compliant. 

Q) What do you mean by “Total cumulative FTE contribution over the life of the project"? 

A) This means the total FTE per person over the life of the project. Maximum total FTE for each person is 1.0. Cumulative is to add up all the personnel. 

For example: 

  • If someone is contributing 1 FTE per year for three years, then their FTE is 1.000 FTE  

  • If someone is contributing 0.1 FTE per year for three years, then their FTE is 0.100 FTE  

  • If someone is contributing 0.05 FTE for two years of a three-year project, then their FTE 0.033 FTE 

  • If someone is contributing 0.5 for two years and 0.1 for 1 years of a three-year project, then their FTE is 0.367 FTE 

Q) Can the Centre connect interested parties with other agencies or organisations involved in developing this project, to discuss it further and assist in developing an EOI submission?  

A) While an EOI is open for submissions, the Centre procurement processes don't allow Centre staff to connect interested parties, as this can cause conflicts of interest. However, interested parties are able to contact whomever they wish, excluding those organisations listed on the EOI, to discuss the project and explore opportunities for collaboration or potential consortium submissions. If an online project briefing has been organised for an EOI, we encourage interested parties to attend the briefing to ask questions and meet other interested parties.  

Q) Can interested parties contact the Centre with questions about the project design before submitting? 

A)  While an EOI is open for submissions, Centre procurement processes don't allow Centre staff to share knowledge of the project design directly with interested parties. However, if you have questions, you can email research@naturalhazards.com.au and you will receive a timely response if appropriate, according to our procurement processes.  

Q) Is there a preference for a project team to be from a single research organisation, or from across multiple organisations? 

A) The Centre has no preference for either a single organisation or a multi-organisation project team. EOIs will be accepted from either and will be evaluated against the evaluation criteria in the same way. 

Q) Can the proposed project team include researchers from government agencies or research consultancies, as well as university-based researchers? 

A) EOIs will be accepted from multi-organisation project teams, and project teams can include researchers at government agencies and research consultancies. The proposed project team's capacity to undertake the project will be evaluated in the same way whether researchers are university-, consultancy- or agency-based. 

Q) Would academic salaries (excluding administrative overheads) be eligible to budget? 

A) Yes, academic salaries can be included within the project budget, but only when they are direct project costs, and their salary is not already covered elsewhere. E.g. the salary costs of a contract researcher who is actively working on the project can be included up to the FTE component they are contributing. However, the salary costs of a tenured academic who is already paid through the university/research organisation would be included as an in-kind contribution up to the amount of their FTE contribution to the project. 

Q) What do you mean by "peer review"? 

A) This is a quality control process. Where requested, the final report must be reviewed by someone who is an expert in the field and independent of the project.  

Q) At what rate can salary on-costs be charged? 

A) Administrative overheads are limited to direct salary-related on-costs. Indirect cost recoveries are not to be included. Other administrative overheads and indirect costs can be included as in-kind contributions. Where the salary on-cost rate exceeds 28% this will need to be justified.  

Q) Can equipment costs be included in the budget? 

A) Ordinarily, project funds are not to be used to purchase equipment. Where funds for equipment are requested, they will need to be justified. 

Q) Can international research teams apply? Alternatively, can international research teams be part of a consortium bid? 

A) International research teams can be part of research projects when they are part of a consortium submission that is led by an Australian research organisation. The international team would need to be subcontracted by the lead Australian based research organisation. Please note that all budget submissions must be in Australian dollars and the lead organisation must bear the cost of funds transfer and responsibility for due diligence as required under Australian Foreign Interference regulations. 

Q) Is there an option of registering my interest as an independent researcher that could assist a larger team or are you only able to consider proposals that address the entire project? 

A) Yes, you can submit an EOI as an independent researcher addressing part of the project requirements. In the EOI submission form, please outline which aspects of the project you can address. Once the EOI closes, we can consider linking researchers together, although whether or not we can do that will depend on a range of factors, so we can’t guarantee that outcome. Of course, the other option is to reach out to potential collaborators now about putting in a joint EOI submission that addresses the entire project. 

Q) Are the events to be researched and analysed restricted to South Australia, Queensland and Western Australia?

A) No, because this is a nationwide project, events from any jurisdiction can be researched and analysed.

Q) Is flooding included, where relevant to storm surges and cyclone events?

A) Potentially. The primary focus is on understanding storm surges and cyclones to inform current databases. However, flooding may be considered as a consequence or data point to better understand the characteristics of these events.